I looked at the schedule and picked 8/8 for the record. I don't like the pick but I think its realistic. With good luck - Hunter back in good health, Ngakoue learning the system quickly and improving the run blocking, Riley at least being average, Eflein and Dozier not getting killed, Bradbury making a leap, Cook not getting hurt and matches at least last year's production, no COVID casualties, Stephen actually holds up at nose, Hill doesn't violate NFL rules, Hughes doesn't get hurt, WRs make up the lost yardage from the Diggs trade, Thelein has a monster year 1300 yard ish, and Bisi or Johnson or the combination equal 1000+ yards, and Dantzler is what's advertised, Harris and Smith avoid injury and compensate for the rookie mistakes in front of them... That is a lot to expect to go right but will be necessary to go 10/6. Less than the above and we drop, possibly, all the way to 6/10. I'll still cheer no matter what but my focus is already tending to look at 2021.
I must admit that I wear rose colored glasses when it comes to the Vikings, but 6-10 seems quite pessimistic. Obviously, one cannot account for random factors and injuries that occur in a NFL season. However, the offense is back, minus Diggs and plus Jefferson. The issue on defense is the corners. The run defense wasn't real good last year (see SF game). If the corners are average, one could argue the defense will be better this year. The big factor is the schedule. It is more difficult, I think the coaching staff can scheme it up so they finish with 9 or 10 wins.
How accurate were PFF predictions for teams last year? Did they pick 49ers and KC in Super Bowl? And did they predict 13 wins for Green Bay? Just wondering how much faith to put in their predictions. Thanks.
It's incredibly difficult to isolate individual performance in football. Theilen was hurt last year, but was lined-up at X in the bomb in Nola. Having some data > than none, but as with defensive metrics in baseball, it's an abstract picture at best. (And at least in baseball, one doesn't have to ask "was the RF supposed to run towards that line drive, or was it his responsibility to first make sure another ball wasn't hit?")
That aside, while replacing 3 fair to good CBs is difficult, replacing the corpse of X. Rhodes with an adult male sufficiently ambulatory to play CB in the NFL is not. The market similarly valued him and M. Alexander at less than 1 year and $4 MM. The CB performance is overwhelmingly likely to be improved over last year's, even though the opponents are likely to be better, too.
I looked at the schedule and picked 8/8 for the record. I don't like the pick but I think its realistic. With good luck - Hunter back in good health, Ngakoue learning the system quickly and improving the run blocking, Riley at least being average, Eflein and Dozier not getting killed, Bradbury making a leap, Cook not getting hurt and matches at least last year's production, no COVID casualties, Stephen actually holds up at nose, Hill doesn't violate NFL rules, Hughes doesn't get hurt, WRs make up the lost yardage from the Diggs trade, Thelein has a monster year 1300 yard ish, and Bisi or Johnson or the combination equal 1000+ yards, and Dantzler is what's advertised, Harris and Smith avoid injury and compensate for the rookie mistakes in front of them... That is a lot to expect to go right but will be necessary to go 10/6. Less than the above and we drop, possibly, all the way to 6/10. I'll still cheer no matter what but my focus is already tending to look at 2021.
I meant Jefferson not Johnson
I must admit that I wear rose colored glasses when it comes to the Vikings, but 6-10 seems quite pessimistic. Obviously, one cannot account for random factors and injuries that occur in a NFL season. However, the offense is back, minus Diggs and plus Jefferson. The issue on defense is the corners. The run defense wasn't real good last year (see SF game). If the corners are average, one could argue the defense will be better this year. The big factor is the schedule. It is more difficult, I think the coaching staff can scheme it up so they finish with 9 or 10 wins.
How accurate were PFF predictions for teams last year? Did they pick 49ers and KC in Super Bowl? And did they predict 13 wins for Green Bay? Just wondering how much faith to put in their predictions. Thanks.
If you find someone who predicts all the results exactly correct, they might be a time traveler lol
It's incredibly difficult to isolate individual performance in football. Theilen was hurt last year, but was lined-up at X in the bomb in Nola. Having some data > than none, but as with defensive metrics in baseball, it's an abstract picture at best. (And at least in baseball, one doesn't have to ask "was the RF supposed to run towards that line drive, or was it his responsibility to first make sure another ball wasn't hit?")
That aside, while replacing 3 fair to good CBs is difficult, replacing the corpse of X. Rhodes with an adult male sufficiently ambulatory to play CB in the NFL is not. The market similarly valued him and M. Alexander at less than 1 year and $4 MM. The CB performance is overwhelmingly likely to be improved over last year's, even though the opponents are likely to be better, too.
And yes, never bet with Biff Tannen.
Of course. I just wondered how closely PFF predictions correlated with actual results, given the popularity of PFF.
Here’s the article from last year. I’m saying that projections are fun and interesting but I wouldn’t weigh them as a company by how well they guessed completely unpredictable things https://www.pff.com/news/pro-bet-updated-final-season-win-projections-for-all-32-nfl-teams